소개
Market Mechanics & Betting is a specialized skill designed to bridge the gap between abstract probability and concrete action. It provides a robust quantitative framework for calculating betting edges, determining optimal stake sizes using the Kelly Criterion, and refining forecast accuracy through Brier score optimization and crowd wisdom extremizing. Whether you are navigating prediction markets, managing a portfolio of speculative bets, or seeking to improve long-term calibration, this skill equips Claude with the mathematical rigor needed to maximize expected value and manage risk effectively.
