What are H1, H2, and H3 horizons?

H1 represents immediate goals (0-6 months), H2 covers mid-term growth (6-12 months), and H3 focuses on long-term transformational innovation (12-24+ months).

How does it help with resource allocation?

It provides portfolio balance checks to ensure you are not over-committed (Effort ≤ 80% capacity) and that your risk profile matches your strategic goals.

How does 'bet sizing' work in this skill?

It uses relative sizing for effort (S/M/L/XL) and potential impact (1x/3x/10x) to allow for objective comparison between diverse initiatives.

What are exit and scale criteria?

Exit criteria are pre-defined metrics that signal when to stop an initiative to save resources. Scale criteria define the success thresholds required to 'double down' or expand a project's scope.

Can I use this for a single small project?

This skill is specifically designed for managing portfolios of 5 or more initiatives where trade-offs and resource constraints are present. For single projects, a PRD or risk register skill is recommended.

Portfolio Roadmapping Bets

Name: Portfolio Roadmapping Bets
Author: lyndonkl

bylyndonkl

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Collaboration Tools

Manages complex strategic initiatives across multiple time horizons using a disciplined betting framework for resource allocation and risk management.

About

The Portfolio Roadmapping Bets skill provides a structured methodology for managing organizational priorities by treating initiatives as strategic 'bets.' It enables teams to balance exploration and exploitation by categorizing work into H1 (now), H2 (next), and H3 (later) horizons. By defining clear exit and scale criteria, sizing effort vs. impact, and identifying technical dependencies, this skill helps leaders make data-driven trade-offs and ensure a healthy mix of core, adjacent, and transformational innovation.

Key Features

Explicit exit and scale criteria to enforce disciplined experimentation and resource reallocation.
Bet sizing framework using relative effort (S/M/L/XL) and impact multipliers (1x/3x/10x).
8 GitHub stars
Heuristic-based sequencing to manage technical, learning, and resource dependencies.
Multi-horizon planning (H1/H2/H3) to balance short-term delivery with long-term innovation.
Automated portfolio balance checks using the 70/20/10 risk allocation rule.

Use Cases

Managing an innovation pipeline where high-risk R&D needs to be balanced against core maintenance.
Creating executive-level visibility into resource allocation across different strategic themes.
Prioritizing a product roadmap with over 5 competing high-stakes initiatives.

About

Key Features

Explicit exit and scale criteria to enforce disciplined experimentation and resource reallocation.
Bet sizing framework using relative effort (S/M/L/XL) and impact multipliers (1x/3x/10x).
8 GitHub stars
Heuristic-based sequencing to manage technical, learning, and resource dependencies.
Multi-horizon planning (H1/H2/H3) to balance short-term delivery with long-term innovation.
Automated portfolio balance checks using the 70/20/10 risk allocation rule.

Use Cases

Managing an innovation pipeline where high-risk R&D needs to be balanced against core maintenance.
Creating executive-level visibility into resource allocation across different strategic themes.
Prioritizing a product roadmap with over 5 competing high-stakes initiatives.