关于
The Expected Value skill provides a structured framework for quantifying risks and rewards by analyzing multiple possible outcomes and their associated probabilities. It guides users through a comprehensive workflow—from defining decision alternatives and estimating base-rate probabilities to interpreting results through the lens of risk tolerance and utility. Whether navigating sequential decision trees or complex portfolio allocations, this skill helps shift decision-making from subjective gut feelings to a repeatable, data-driven methodology that accounts for uncertainty, time value of money, and potential tail risks.
