What is the 'Chain Estimation' method?

It involves quantifying uncertain variables using ranges and probabilities rather than fixed numbers, allowing the AI to account for risk and variability in its calculations.

How does this skill assist with Build vs. Buy decisions?

It provides a structured framework to compare internal development effort and maintenance costs against SaaS subscription fees and implementation timelines over a multi-year period.

Can this skill help pitch to non-technical executives?

Yes, the 'Storytelling' phase specifically translates technical data and complex estimates into a clear narrative focused on bottom-line impact, risks, and strategic alignment.

Does it account for 'What-if' scenarios?

Absolutely. It uses sensitivity analysis to test how changes in your assumptions—like a project taking longer or a market being smaller—would change the final recommendation.

Strategic Decision & Business Case Analyst

Name: Strategic Decision & Business Case Analyst
Author: lyndonkl

bylyndonkl

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数据科学与机器学习

Quantifies uncertain business choices and crafts persuasive, data-backed narratives to secure stakeholder buy-in.

关于

This skill transforms ambiguous strategic choices into defensible recommendations by chaining three critical phases: rigorous estimation using probability ranges, quantitative decision analysis via expected value modeling, and compelling storytelling. It is specifically designed for high-stakes scenarios like build-vs-buy evaluations, market entry strategies, and resource allocation where technical complexity must be translated into executive-ready business cases with clear ROI projections.

主要功能

Standardized frameworks for Build vs. Buy and Total Cost of Ownership (TCO)
8 GitHub stars
Quantitative ROI and Expected Value (EV) modeling for risk assessment
Persuasive narrative generation tailored for executive, technical, or financial audiences
Multi-scenario probability estimation (best, base, and worst-case ranges)
Sensitivity analysis to identify which variables most impact the final decision

使用场景

Evaluating whether to develop a custom internal tool versus purchasing a SaaS subscription.
Creating a formal business case for entering new markets or launching significant product features.
Justifying budget and resource allocation for major infrastructure or architectural migrations.

关于

主要功能

Standardized frameworks for Build vs. Buy and Total Cost of Ownership (TCO)
8 GitHub stars
Quantitative ROI and Expected Value (EV) modeling for risk assessment
Persuasive narrative generation tailored for executive, technical, or financial audiences
Multi-scenario probability estimation (best, base, and worst-case ranges)
Sensitivity analysis to identify which variables most impact the final decision

使用场景

Evaluating whether to develop a custom internal tool versus purchasing a SaaS subscription.
Creating a formal business case for entering new markets or launching significant product features.
Justifying budget and resource allocation for major infrastructure or architectural migrations.